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Friday, December 31, 2021

How We Make Sense of Time - The New York Times

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January 2022 arrives as our methods of keeping time feel like they are breaking. Calendar pages turn, yet time feels lost. In this year of all years, what does it mean for a year to be new?

How We Make Sense of Time

How We Make
Sense of Time

January 2022 arrives as our methods of keeping time feel like they are breaking. Calendar pages turn, yet time feels lost. In this year of all years, what does it mean for a year to be new?

Deep inside a mountain in West Texas, Alexander Rose has been working to build a clock with a pendulum that will tick for 10,000 years.

It is hundreds of feet tall, powered by the temperature difference between day and night, and synchronized by the solstice. The idea, said Mr. Rose, the executive director of the foundation behind it, is to help humans think about time well beyond our own lives. They call it the Clock of the Long Now.

The coronavirus pandemic has slowed installation, and it has also made time itself feel strange, going by both in a blur and horrifically slowly, he said.

“There was that moment in the middle of 2021, last summer, when we all thought, all right, this is it, we are all coming out,” he said. “Well, that lasted about 30 days. And all of the sudden, we are back in, and then we are coming back out again, and then now we are going back in.”

He added, “There is a pendulum that’s going to swing.”

When clocks strike midnight on Dec. 31, the year 2021 and all it has brought will come to a close, leaving people around the world reflecting on the passage of time. Typically, New Year’s Day is an occasion to consider the past and celebrate the future. We make resolutions. We remember those who have died. We make lists of the traumas and the joys that have impressed themselves upon our lives.

But this year of all years, what does it mean for a year to be new? How do we measure our lives? The past year began with the promise of mass vaccination and the hope that life as we had known it would return. The year is ending with unmet expectations — Omicron’s spread, people lighting candles for their third Covid birthday cakes, and meager jokes that 2022 could really be “2020, two.” How do we make sense of time when calendar pages turn, and yet time feels lost?

January 2022 comes as our methods of keeping time feel like they are breaking. Schools start in person again and then go back online. Tornadoes destroy entire towns in mere moments. We count minutes for rapid tests, and days for Covid exposures. In many regions, it rained too much in summer, or stayed warm into winter. Items ordered months ago suddenly arrive.

“Before, new years were landmarks in progress of a story that was unfolding,” said Jenann Ismael, a philosopher of physics at Columbia University. “Now it feels like lost time, waiting to get back to our stories.”

Time is a mystery humans have grappled with across cultures and centuries, often with ritual as our guide. January traces to Janus, the Roman god of doorways and beginnings. The ancient Babylonians charted the course of Venus, dating the dynasties of kings. The Greeks had Chronos, the god of time, and for many Hindus time was associated with Kali, who doubled as the goddess of death.

Calendars are flexible things, shaped by and for the communities that make them. The Gregorian calendar, the solar dating system commonly used today, was created by Pope Gregory XIII in the late 16th century, as a revision of the Julian calendar, established by Julius Caesar. Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year, arrived this year in September with the sounding of the shofar. The coming Lunar New Year will begin on Feb. 1, when the Year of the Ox, representing fortitude and strength, will give way to the Year of the Tiger, which some hope is a sign of roaring back.

“I like to think of a new year being possible at any moment, as every moment is a kind of doorway,” said Joy Harjo, the United States poet laureate. “You can go any direction, although directions can be impeded.”

This year, directions everywhere seemed blocked. Plans were made and then canceled. The ritual of the New Year’s party is not the same on Zoom.

Vijay Iyer, a pianist and composer, lost his father over the summer. Everyone, he said, is carrying some bit of grief.

“There’s what we call a lifetime, and there’s the way that someone’s afterlife continues to matter, and the way they become part of other people,” he said. “Time becomes a very fluid, almost reversible thing.”

In music, he said, time is born of human rhythmic cycles. A breath may be around three or 10 seconds, a pulse a third of a second, spoken syllables quicker than that. There’s the slower build of the hormonal activation of emotion, and short- and long-term memory. All of life’s cycles, in and around us, together define time.

“Musical time, we are actually talking about change, and offering a pathway of change,” he said.

“Sometimes it is about losing yourself within it temporarily, so you don’t actually have sense of what time it is anymore,” he said. “It frees you from the Eastern Standard Time, temporal grid, that we are on.”

In quantum mechanics, the concept of time itself is deeply complicated, said Jun Ye, a physicist who created the world’s most precise atomic clock, a project of the National Institute of Standards and Technology and the University of Colorado Boulder.

The clock physically measures how time is relative and shows how time changes when atoms are moved over microscopic distances. It captures a single atom in a vacuum chamber, and the electrons moving around the nucleus of an atom function as a sort of pendulum at a speed impossible to comprehend: one-millionth of one-billionth of a second, called a femtosecond. The clock is so accurate that it would not lose a second over 15 billion years.

Without knowing the form of the laws of physics before the Big Bang, there’s no way to describe time before the origin of our world, Dr. Ye said. “The concept of time is a little bit troubled if you think through the entire evolution of universe.”

Time and space are mixed with each other to create our world, and it can make us feel both significant and insignificant at once, said Priyamvada Natarajan, a professor of astronomy at Yale University.

People have asked her about the potential failure of the $10 billion James Webb Space Telescope, which was launched on Christmas to explore the earliest moments of our universe. But, in this uneasy time, she believes there are more important concerns.

“It’s the time and the lives that we’ve lost, that we can never get back again,” she said.

The coronavirus upended her long-awaited sabbatical and plans to spend time in Europe and with her aging parents in India.

“I’m old enough that this time is important,” she said.

Timekeeping is in transition well beyond the pandemic. People now organize their lives by looking at their smartphones, and the art of clock and watch repair is fading, said Joseph Jabbour, a past president of the Horological Association of Virginia.

For the last auction his group held before the pandemic, he brought in a tall case clock he had found for $125 and repaired, one that originally would have cost a few thousand dollars. But nobody wanted to buy it, so he gave it away for free.

“You have to standardize time to be able to run a world these days,” he said.

This New Year will arrive as it always does: in the night, as the earth begins another orbit around the sun, racing at some 67,000 miles per hour into an unknown future.

In Times Square, the ball drop will go on, though scaled back. Ritual helps create certainty when so much is beyond control, said Tim Tompkins, past president of the Times Square Alliance.

Each of the 19 years in which he oversaw the ball drop had included something challenging or sad, he said. And yet people came, devoted, in the freezing cold for the countdown.

“In the simple act of someone kissing someone that they loved, or being around someone they loved, or even the top pop star singing on stage,” he said, “there’s some sense in which we make this determined, almost counterfactual effort to say, no matter how crazy and difficult and unpredictable life is, we are going to celebrate the things that we love, and the people we love.”

And so from Times Square to living rooms, indoors or beneath the sky, people will join in an old song of friends grappling with the pendulum swings of time.

“We two have run about the slopes,

And picked the daisies fine;

But we’ve wandered many a weary foot,

Since auld lang syne.”

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With little time to get out, hundreds of Colorado residents lose their homes in a ferocious wildfire - CNN

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(CNN)A vicious wildfire that began Thursday morning in Boulder County, Colorado, swallowed about 1,600 acres in a matter of hours, burning hundreds of homes and prompting orders for some 30,000 people in two communities to evacuate.

Amid historically powerful winds and drought-parched land, some 370 homes were destroyed in a single subdivision just west of the town of Superior, while another 210 homes may have been lost in Old Town Superior, the Boulder County sheriff said Thursday. No deaths or missing people were reported immediately.
As quickly as the winds began, they were due to subside overnight and the weather to swing quickly to the other extreme: The fire-ravaged area is under a winter weather warning Friday morning, with 5 to 10 inches of snow expected to fall by Saturday, CNN meteorologist Robert Shackelford said.
Downed power lines appear to have caused the Marshall Fire, Sheriff Joe Pelle said. About 15,000 customers had no power early Friday in Colorado, most of them in Boulder County.
Thursday's event was a "truly historic windstorm," with winds gusting over 100 mph in Jefferson and Boulder Counties and fueling the blazes, the National Weather Service said.
Andy Thorn, a resident of Boulder Heights, Colorado, always worried about wildfires whenever the area saw high winds, he said. That's exactly what he witnessed Thursday as he watched from his home in the Boulder foothills as the flames and smoke spread.
"One minute, there was nothing. Then, plumes of smoke appeared. Then, flames," he told CNN. "Then, the flames jumped around and multiplied. Now, we're just thinking about everyone who lost their home and all the firefighters and first responders who do so much for all of us in times like this."
A home burns Thursday after flames swept through the Centennial Heights neighborhood of Louisville, Colorado.
Chris Smith and his wife, of downtown Superior, got a notification Thursday morning from their daughters' day care in nearby Louisville to "come pick up the girls," he told CNN affiliate KCNC. "Please act quickly," city officials there had urged in their evacuation order.
"I called my wife, and she started collecting valuables and clothes to evacuate," Smith said. He drove through smoke on his way there and on his way back.
Across the fire zone, roads were blocked by smoke and traffic gridlock as people tried to make their way out.
At a Chuck E. Cheese restaurant in Superior, families with young children could see smoke out wide windows and made their way toward an exit, video taken by Jason Fletcher shows.
"Right now," one woman said. "It's OK."
"I'm scared," said a child as another woman leaned hard into the front door to pry it open against blowing wind.
At a Costco store in Superior, shoppers were told to calmly leave their carts and go, said Hunt Frye, who took video from the hazy parking lot. A shopping center and a hotel in Superior also burned Thursday, Pelle said.
The Marshall Fire burns Thursday in Broomfield, Colorado.
From an ICU room at Avista Adventist Hospital in Louisville, white smoke clouded a charcoal sky just across the parking lot and a street, video from Kara Plese shows. The hospital was fully evacuated and patients transferred or discharged, officials there said. Good Samaritan Medical Center in nearby Lafayette also began transferring some of its most critical and fragile patients, according to a news release.
Flames burned right next to roads in Superior and Louisville, and thick smoke made visibility next to impossible, video posted by Broomfield Police shows. Another clip shows homes engulfed in flames.

Downed power lines may be the cause

Deputies confirmed downed power lines in the fire zone, said Pelle, who cited preliminary reports in pointing to those line as the fire's cause, with a final determination expected in the coming days. Also sparked was the Middle Fork Fire, which was quickly "laid down," the sheriff said in a news conference.
Winds had dropped by early Friday to below 20 mph, and the area is under a winter weather warning, with heavy snowfall expected by sunrise in the drought-stricken state, CNN meteorologist Shackelford said.
Wind gusts Thursday pushed the blaze "down a football field in a matter of seconds," Colorado Gov. Jared Polis said.
"There's no way," he said, "to quantify in any financial way, the price of a loss -- of losing the chair that was handed down to you from your grandmother, of losing your childhood yearbooks, of losing your photos, of losing your computer files -- which hundreds of Colorado families have experienced today with no warning."
Friday's anticipated snowfall "comes at a good time," Schakelford said, "since 100% of the state is under some sort of drought, and this snowfall will also help to contain the Marshall Fire."
Much of the western US has been mired in serious drought, with the warmer temperatures and drier conditions consequences of climate change. Denver has seen just over 1 inch of precipitation in last six months -- a record low for the second half of the year. Boulder and its surrounding counties are classified as under a "extreme drought," per the US Drought Monitor.
The Marshall Fire blazes Thursday through Colorado.

Recovery plans are already underway

Though evacuees were not yet allowed to return Thursday night, some already were working to begin the recovery. A search party was scheduled on Facebook for the weekend. On another Facebook page, dozens posted about animals they're looking for or found in and around the burned areas.
One insurance agent in Superior had heard from a client who believed they had lost their home, she told CNN affiliate KMGH.
"It's just something you don't plan on. It's just devastating," she said.
The sheriff would not be surprised if the numbers of casualties or missing people soon change, given the fire's size and intensity, he said Thursday. Already, at least six people were treated for injuries related to one of the fires, a UCHealth spokesperson told CNN Thursday. A law enforcement officer suffered a minor eye injury from blowing debris.
The Marshall Fire burns out of control Thursday in Broomfield, Colorado.
Polis on Thursday declared a state of emergency.
"This area, for those who don't know this area of Boulder County, is right and around suburban subdevelopments, stores. It's like the neighborhood that you live in; it's like the neighborhood that any of us live in," the governor said Thursday.
Evacuation centers were open, including one for evacuees who have Covid-19, Polis said. The Federal Emergency Management Agency also announced late Thursday it had authorized the use of federal funds to help fight the fire.
"We are devastated by the destruction and losses we are experiencing," the town of Superior wrote on Twitter Thursday evening, just hours after announcing its evacuation order.

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BlackBerry will die on January 4th — for real this time - The Verge

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Dear friends, we’re gathered here today to mourn the death of that once-beloved monarch of the mobile world: BlackBerry. And, yes, I realize that this is not the first time we’ve announced the death of the company or its devices (and, for reasons I’ll explain below, it likely won’t be the last) but this is a very definite ending for legacy BlackBerry hardware.

As of January 4th, any phones or tablets running BlackBerry’s own software — that’s BlackBerry 7.1 or earlier, BlackBerry 10, or its tablet operating system BlackBerry PlayBook — will “no longer reliably function,” says the company. Whether on Wi-Fi or cellular, there’ll be no guarantee you can make phone calls, send text messages, use data, establish an SMS connection, or even call 9-1-1. That sounds pretty darned dead to us.

If, for whatever inexplicable reason, you or someone you love is still using an original BlackBerry, then we recommend you make it a New Year’s resolution to pry it gently but firmly from their hands. From January 4th onwards, it’ll be little more than a paperweight. (Though BlackBerry devices running Android will continue to work as normal.)

RIM BlackBerry 8310 beat up (1020)

As alluded to above, though, this might not be the last BlackBerry death we announce. The company has experienced a slow and torturous decline since its dominant era in the late 2000s, when its QWERTY keyboards and reputation for security gave it a 50 percent market share in the US, but such a storied brand has to be wrung for its last dregs of value. (Its parent company, BlackBerry Limited, has pivoted to selling cybersecurity software.)

BlackBerry tried to reboot itself in 2013 with a new OS, BlackBerry 10 (which failed), and in 2015 switched to making Android devices (which failed, too). Then, in 2016, it started licensing its brand to third-party manufacturers like TCL. This is still how the BlackBerry name lingers on, and in 2020, a Texas firm named OnwardMobility said it would be making a 5G Android-powered BlackBerry device with a full QWERTY keyboard to release in 2021.

Well, the clock is rather ticking on that one (OnwardMobility hasn’t shared any news or updates on its website since January 2021), but whether that particular effort lives or dies, it will at least give us a chance to gather again for another funeral. We really must get together some time under kinder circumstances. How are your aunt and uncle anyway?

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Tool time | City Desk | tulsapeople.com - tulsapeople.com

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Thursday, December 30, 2021

Didn't max out your IRA this year? There's still time in 2022 - CNBC

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Marko Geber

If you couldn't max out your individual retirement account in 2021, don't despair.

There's still time to make a contribution to traditional and Roth IRAs.

The deadline for putting money into IRAs for this year is April 15, 2022, giving savers an additional four months to contribute.

For 2021, the maximum contribution to an IRA is $6,000 for those under the age of 50 and $7,000 for those 50 and older. The limits are the same for 2022, according to the IRS.

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If someone didn't max out their IRA in 2021, the April deadline means they can sock away more money next year. In March, they could contribute the full $6,000 earmarked for 2021 and put in another $6,000 for 2022.

"It's the benefit to get more in," said Sheri Fronsee, a CPA and tax researcher specialist with the National Association of Tax Professionals.

More time, more money

The extra time can also be helpful for people who contribute regularly throughout the year yet aren't putting in enough to reach the maximum.

For example, someone putting money into an IRA monthly would need to contribute $500 each month to get to $6,000. For many Americans, that's not feasible, but they might have extra money at the end of the year — or the beginning of a new one — to invest, especially if they get a bonus or a raise.

"They still have a little wiggle room," said Fronsee. "If they can afford it, they can drop in more to max it out."

Maxing out the previous year also gives you more time to potentially save more.

"If cash flow is an issue, you've got 15 more months to make a decision [for 2022] versus only having three more months to make a decision for 2021," said Clark Kendall, a certified financial planner and the president and CEO of Kendall Capital in Rockville, Maryland.

For those contributing to a traditional IRA, there may be tax benefits for contributions before the end of the year. Some of those savings can be deducted from taxes, potentially lowering your liability. In addition, low-income workers may be eligible for the saver's credit if they use a traditional IRA.

With a Roth IRA, which has specific income limits for those who can contribute, there are no immediate tax benefits. That's because money is put in after-tax, meaning it can be withdrawn without paying any extra in retirement.

The benefit of time

There is another benefit to investing earlier if you can — it means your money has more time to appreciate in the stock market. This year, the S&P 500 Index is up more than 27% through Wednesday's close.

"It's a seed or planting that turns into a huge tree that can make a difference and will give you great shade and comfort in the years to come," said Kendall.

Not all retirement accounts give you additional time. Employer-sponsored 401(k) and 403(b) plans still have a Dec. 31 deadline for 2021 contributions.

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Disclosure: NBCUniversal and Comcast Ventures are investors in Acorns.

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Watch: 4 Moments to Remember From 2021 - TIME

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As 2021 comes to a close, TIME looks back at some of the history-making moments we documented on film. Here is a selection of some of our favorite video stories about people who changed our present, for us or for themselves; innovations that are shaping our future; and a past that we’re only just beginning to grapple with.

Amanda Gorman: ‘The Hill We Climb’

Gorman, the youngest inaugural poet in the U.S., recently spoke to TIME about her writing process, attending President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris’ Inauguration, and the most valuable lesson she’s learned from her unprecedented year. In this video, she reads the poem that made her a household name.


Reintroducing Tommy Dorfman

“I view today as a reintroduction to me as a woman, having made a transition medically,” actor Tommy Dorfman told writer Torrey Peters when they spoke for a TIME interview. “Coming out is always viewed as this grand reveal, but I was never not out. Today is about clarity: I am a trans woman.” Here, Dorfman discusses her take on how to live authentically in the public eye.


Inside the SpaceX Crew Dragon: Here’s How the Inspiration4 Crew Will Fly to Space

The Inspiration4 mission marked the first time an all-civilian, non-governmental crew took to orbit. TIME Studios produced the Netflix documentary series Countdown: Inspiration 4 Mission to Space, a look inside this unprecedented journey.


The History You Didn’t Learn: Black Wall Streets

It has been 100 years since the Tulsa race massacre, when an angry white mob destroyed a prosperous black neighborhood in Tulsa, Okla. And Tulsa’s story is just one part of a larger history of Black Wall Streets that existed in many American cities. In this short documentary, TIME’s Arpita Aneja and Olivia Waxman explore the history of Jackson Ward in Richmond, Va., which is considered the first “Black Wall Street” to emerge around the turn of the 20th century.

More Must-Read Stories From TIME

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What Is 'Time Blocking'? Learn All About This Efficient Tiktok Trend - Today.com

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Looking for a more efficient way to be productive? Then, you might want to try "time blocking."

This latest TikTok trend is great for those who want to do more with their day and stick to a productive schedule. If you execute it right, you can stop procrastinating on important projects and letting things fall through the cracks. "Time blocking" is the perfect way to kick 2022 off if you want to stick to your goals.

A person wearing a camel-colored sweater writes in a notebook.Kristina Strasunske / Getty Images

What is "time blocking"?

TODAY correspondent Morgan Radford explains that "time blocking" is "a way to break your day into chunks, devoting specific and limited amounts of time to each task. Focusing deeply and exclusively on the progress of those tasks. And the key? You build this plan the night before."

Does "time blocking" really work?

Georgetown associate professor Cal Newport says that "time blocking" can be "near miraculous" for anyone who wants to be more productive with their day.

"Young people are realizing, 'I have a lot to do. It's unclear how to get it done,'" he told Radford. "What I hear again and again from people that switch to 'time block' planning is they are getting twice as much done in the same amount of work time."

Small business owner Dana Walton, who is also a single mother to her 3-year-old son, told TODAY that "time blocking" has helped her "eliminate all the distractions" in her day-to-day life.

Plus, Britney Brown, a mom of five, told Radford that making a "time blocking" schedule has helped her a lot with her ADHD.

A woman holds a cellphone by a laptop while writing on a notepad. MStudioImages / Getty Images

ADHD is short for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, which according to The John Hopkins School of Medicine's website, is "a behavior disorder, usually first diagnosed in childhood, that is characterized by inattention, impulsivity, and, in some cases, hyperactivity."

"It removes that amount of panic that comes when you're not exactly sure what you're supposed to be doing," Brown said about her "time blocking" schedule. "It helps that a lot."

How should you make your "time block" schedule?

Walton makes sure that she plans out her day from the moment she wakes up at 6 a.m. to the moment she falls asleep around 11:30 p.m.

"It literally is: wake up, breakfast, brush your teeth, make breakfast for your kid, drop off, pick up, any meetings that I have for work, any non-negotiables throughout the day, and the periods that I need to have it — it's all literally blocked off," she said.

Don't forget to carve out as much time as you need to get a task done. Newport says that's the No. 1 mistake that people make when they first start "time blocking." He also suggests batching together all of your small tasks like scheduling appointments or calling your doctor's office so that you can get those done in a quick manner and give yourself more time throughout the day.

A woman sits by a window and writes in a journal while covering herself with a blanket.Westend61 / Getty Images

What about your breaks?

Although "time blocking" is great for keeping you on schedule, you also have to make sure to carve out time for breaks. Newport says that this practice is "crucial" for your mental health.

When you first start "time blocking," Newport said you shouldn't expect to feel like you're off to a great start. People typically tell him that "it's exhausting at first," but once they get into the habit of doing it, they "can't believe how much work" they're getting done.

How is "time blocking" different from a to-do list?

"A to-do list is at the core of what I call the reactive method," Newport explained. "You react to what's coming at you and say, 'What do I want to do next?' 'Time blocking' can be much more proactive. You're saying, 'OK, I'm actually going to look at the day in advance. What's the best allocation of what I could be doing to the time that's available?' And then once you have that plan, you can actually just put your head down and execute."

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The Pandemic Changed How We Drink. It's Time to Go Back to the Joy of Social Drinking - TIME

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One of the greatest foci of human ingenuity and concentrated effort over the past millennia has been the problem of how to get drunk. Even small-scale societies on the brink of starvation will set aside a good portion of their precious grain or fruit for alcohol production. In contemporary societies, people spend an alarming proportion of their household budgets on alcohol. This desire to get mentally altered has ancient roots, ones that can be traced to the very beginnings of civilization. In fact, archaeologists have suggested that various forms of alcohol were not merely a by-product of the invention of agriculture, but actually a motivation for it—that the first farmers were driven by a desire for beer, not bread

Why does alcohol play such a central role in most people’s lives? Although our taste for booze has typically been dismissed as an evolutionary accident, a closer look at history and the relevant science suggests that it actually helped catalyze the rise of civilization. By reducing our stress, improving our moods, enhancing our creativity, and facilitating our ability to bond with others—in short, through relaxing our muscles and our minds—alcohol allowed otherwise fiercely individualistic and selfish primates like us to live together and cooperate in a manner more reminiscent of bees than chimpanzees.

For most of our history, however, alcohol has come with two built-in safety features that have limited the danger it presents to both individuals and societies: natural limits to strength of fermented beverages and social constraints on consumption.

Alcohol (or, properly speaking, the compound ethanol) is a natural by-product produced by yeast as they munch their way through the sugars contained in starches or fruit. Yeast are naturally resistant to alcohol, but even the hardiest yeast cannot tolerate much more than 16% ABV (alcohol by volume). This is why naturally fermented alcoholic beverages top out at this level. In practice, and for most of history, the beers and wines we have had at our disposal have been much weaker than this, with most beers, for instance, hovering around 2-3% ABV. The alcohol-tolerance of yeast has historically set an upper bound on the potency of brew available to us.

This biological limit has traditionally been supplemented by a cultural trick. Ancient texts and art, from Egypt to China, depict drinking as communal and socially-regulated. The host of the Greek symposium, for instance, not only controlled the timing and ordering of the toasts, but also the ratio of water to wine being served, adjusting it as necessary. Similarly, if you’ve ever complained about how long it takes to get a pint at a crowded pub on a Friday evening, you would’ve hated ancient China. An early Chinese ritual text describes the beginning of the traditional wine drinking ritual as follows:

The host and the guest salute each other three times. When they reach the steps, they concede to each other three times. Then the host ascends. The guest also ascends. The host stands under the lintel, faces north and salutes twice. The guest ascends from the west of the steps, stands under the lintel, faces north and returns the salutation. The host sits down and takes the [wine] cup from the tray and descends to wash. The guest follows the host. The host sits down again and pronounces his words of courtesy, and the guest replies.

Even after this excruciating ballet of salutations and courtesies and ritual washing of the cups is done, the ancient Chinese tippler is still not free to consume at will: One does not drink unless a formal toast is made, and who has the right or responsibility to make a toast is also strictly dictated by ritual. Such archaic and stuffy rituals may seem light-years away from a breezy, Happy Hour gathering, but beneath the casual surface of modern social drinking are forces serving an identical moderating function.

Very recently, however, these two safety features have been disabled.

Let’s start with alcohol content. Clever primates annoyed with wimpy yeast maxing out at 16% ABV came up with a workaround: distillation. Conceptually, distillation is elegant and simple. Take a beer or wine—essentially, a mixture of water and ethanol—and heat it. Ethanol is more volatile than water, which means it will boil off first. If you can figure out some way to capture that alcoholic vapor and cool it back down into a liquid, voilà, you’ve got yourself some more or less pure booze. Break out the shot glasses.

In practice, distillation is both fiendishly difficult to pull off and rather dangerous—exploding home stills and scalding liquids were Prohibition-era America’s equivalent of contemporary meth lab disasters. This is why, although the basic principles of alcoholic distillation were laid out as far back as Aristotle, humans did not gain widespread access to distilled liquors until around the thirteenth century in China and the sixteenth to eighteenth centuries in Europe.

For a species whose ability to consume and process alcohol can be traced back at least 10 million years up the evolutionary tree, this is basically yesterday, and represents an evolutionarily novel danger. Distillation is what makes it possible for almost anyone, anywhere in the industrialized world, to walk into a corner store and emerge a few minutes later with a truly insane quantity of alcohol tucked into a small brown paper bag. A couple bottles of vodka contain a dose of ethanol equivalent to an entire cartload of pre-modern beer. The availability of such concentrated intoxicants is something our ancestors never had to deal with.

Add to this the danger of isolation. Even before our the COVD-19 crisis, contemporary drinking too often occurred in a social vacuum. This is especially the case in the suburbs, where people commute long distances from home to work and typically lack a social drinking venue within easy walking distance. Drinking has increasingly become something we do in the privacy of our homes, outside social control or observation. Knocking back a string of high-alcohol beers or vodka and tonics in front of the TV, even with one’s immediate family around, is a radical departure from traditional drinking practices centered on communal meals and ritually-paced toasting. It instead calls to mind the bottomless alcohol feeding tubes provided to overcrowded rats in alcohol and stress experiments.

Widely available distilled liquors and frequent solitary drinking are relatively recent developments that have fundamentally changed alcohol’s balance on the razor’s edge between usefulness and harm. A lifestyle where drive-through stores allow you to acquire cigarettes, firearms, Slim Jims, and enough alcohol to paralyze an elephant without having to leave the comfort of your SUV is one for which we may not be evolutionarily well-equipped, genetically or culturally

It is therefore not surprising that large-scale epidemics of alcohol abuse are invariably driven by one or both of these banes of modernity, distillation and isolation. Hard liquor becomes particularly harmful when the availability of spirits coincides with a breakdown of social order or ritual regulations. Both forces were at work, for instance, in the Russian vodka epidemic (1992-1994) that followed the breakup of the Soviet Union: life expectancy fell 3.3 years for women and an incredible 6.1 years for men, driven by a massive increase in vodka consumption. The restrictions on socializing caused by the COVID-19 pandemic may present us with a similar public health crisis. There is debate about whether or not overall alcohol consumption has increased, rather than simply shifting from bars and restaurants to the home, but either way our drinking has become more solitary, isolated, and unhealthy.

The ancient Greeks viewed Dionysus, the god of wine, with a combination of reverence and trepidation. He inspired artistic creation and bestowed joy on humanity, but could also turn people into animals. The modern innovations of distillation and isolation only increase the dangers lurking in the bottle.

For most of us, the best response to these risks is not complete abstention, but moderate and communal enjoyment of beer and wine. They key word here is communal. Though we no longer have strict rituals governing our indulgence, ethnographic and experimental studies have shown that people—mostly unconsciously—adapt their consumption to conform with the group. This can go seriously sideways in pathological cultures, like university fraternities, but in most societies, the effect is one of moderation. This is why, for most of history, the consumption of alcohol has been a fundamentally and essentially social act.

As pandemic lockdowns ease and we return to ordinary life rhythms, the revival of social drinking should be embraced with euphoric gusto. The shared experience of music, happy chatter, effortlessly synchronized conversation, rising endorphin levels, and reduced inhibitions catalyzed by a few glasses of ethanol has been impossible to replace with Zoom chats, and it is something we’ve been desperately missing. Let us look forward to once again celebrating the ancient, distinctly human joy of sharing a pint or two among friends.

Just maybe hold off on the Jägermeister shots.

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Bulls beat Hawks for 2nd time in 3 nights, run streak to 5 - Fox News

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Zach LaVine scored 25 points and the Chicago Bulls beat the Atlanta Hawks for the second time in three nights, 131-117 on Wednesday.

The Bulls extended their winning streak to a season-high five games. The Hawks, who are playing without 15 players due to the NBA’s health and safety protocols and injuries, lost for the fifth time in six games.

The Bulls shot 61.9% and had a season-high with 38 assists. They beat the Hawks 130-118 on Monday night in Atlanta.

Trey Young scored 26 points for Atlanta, and Clint Capela added 18 in the opener of a six-game trip.

CLICK HERE FOR MORE SPORTS COVERAGE ON FOXNEWS.COM

"We got three-fourths of our team out," Young said. "I came to shoot around not knowing most of my teammates."

LaVine punctuated his performance with a. 360 dunk that extended the Bulls’ lead to 119-96 with 6:44 left.

Nicola Vucevic had 16 points and a season-high 20 rebounds for Chicago. DeMar DeRozan scored 20 pointts, and guard Coby White had 17 points and 12 assists. Reserve guard Ayo Dosunmu converted 6 of 7 shots and finished with 14 points, as did Javonte Green.

"I think people realize how good (LaVine) is," Bulls interim coach Chris Fleming said. "I think that secret is out. He’s been an All-Star and has played at an extremely high level."

The Bulls made 40 of 43 field goal attempts in the first half (69.8%), including 6 of 10 three-point attempts.

The Bulls had an 18-1 run to end the first half with a 74-53 lead. They were credited with 24 assists in the first half without point guard Lonzo Ball, who is in health and safety protocols.

TIP-INS

Hawks: Chris Clemons and Cameron Oliver were signed to 10-day contracts. Wes Iwundu was activated from the NBA’s health and safety protocol. The Hawks have 12 players in protocols, which has caused coach Nate McMillan to play Young, Cam Reddish, Capela and Skylar Mays, a two-way guard, longer than he’d prefer. "We really don’t have subs for them," McMillan said. "There are times we’re having to put four-five guys out there who don’t know our system. We’re giving them basic sets."

Bulls: Marko Simonovic entered the NBA’s health and safety protocols. Simonovic is the 17th Bulls player to enter the protocols this season. F Patrick Williams (ligament tear) had pins removed from his left wrist, but Fleming didn’t know how this would affect Williams’ rehab schedule. Williams was expected to miss the regular season. With coach Billy Donovan currently in health and safety protocols, Fleming said he expects to remain as interim coach through at least the next two games.

UP NEXT

Hawks: At Cleveland on Friday night.

Bulls: At Indiana on Friday.

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Watch Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: TV channel, live stream info, start time - CBS Sports

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Through 3 Quarters

Only one more quarter stands between the Utah Jazz and the win they were favored to collect going into this night. Three quarters in and their offense has really been able to impose its will, dominating the Portland Trail Blazers 96-82.

Utah has been relying on center Hassan Whiteside, who has 15 points along with nine boards, and small forward Rudy Gay, who has 17 points in addition to four rebounds. One thing to keep an eye out for is Joe Ingles' foul situation as he currently sits at four.

The top scorers for Portland have been point guard Damian Lillard (27 points) and small forward Norman Powell (25 points). Norman Powell has also picked up four fouls, though.

the Trail Blazers have lost 86% of the time when they were down heading into the fourth quarter this season, so this one seems just about wrapped up

Who's Playing

Utah @ Portland

Current Records: Utah 24-9; Portland 13-20

What to Know

The Utah Jazz's road trip will continue as they head to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday to face off against the Portland Trail Blazers. The Jazz will be strutting in after a victory while Portland will be stumbling in from a loss.

Utah didn't have too much breathing room in their game with the San Antonio Spurs on Monday, but they still walked away with a 110-104 win. Utah's center Rudy Gobert did his thing and dropped a double-double on 16 points and 13 rebounds along with three blocks.

Meanwhile, it looks like Rip City must have gotten on Santa's naughty list since the squad didn't end up with the win they were expected to receive on Monday. The contest between Portland and the Dallas Mavericks was not particularly close, with Portland falling 132-117. Rip City was down 106-84 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too much to recover from. Despite the defeat, they got a solid performance out of small forward Nassir Little, who posted a double-double on 20 points and ten boards in addition to three blocks.

The Jazz are the favorite in this one, with an expected 7.5-point margin of victory. They have failed bettors playing the spread in their past six games, so buyers beware.

Utah's win brought them up to 24-9 while Rip City's defeat pulled them down to 13-20. A pair of stats to keep an eye on: Utah ranks first in the league when it comes to field goal percentage, with 47.70% on the season. Less enviably, Portland has allowed their opponents to shoot 47.40% from the floor on average, which is the second highest shooting percentage allowed in the league. So the cards are definitely stacked against Rip City.

How To Watch

  • When: Wednesday at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Moda Center at the Rose Quarter -- Portland, Oregon
  • TV: ATTSN Rocky Mountain
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $32.67

Odds

The Jazz are a big 7.5-point favorite against the Trail Blazers, according to the latest NBA odds.

The line has drifted a bit towards the Jazz, as the game opened with the Jazz as a 6-point favorite.

Over/Under: -108

See NBA picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine's advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

Utah have won 12 out of their last 23 games against Portland.

  • Nov 29, 2021 - Utah 129 vs. Portland 107
  • May 12, 2021 - Portland 105 vs. Utah 98
  • Apr 08, 2021 - Utah 122 vs. Portland 103
  • Dec 23, 2020 - Utah 120 vs. Portland 100
  • Feb 07, 2020 - Utah 117 vs. Portland 114
  • Feb 01, 2020 - Portland 124 vs. Utah 107
  • Dec 26, 2019 - Utah 121 vs. Portland 115
  • Jan 30, 2019 - Portland 132 vs. Utah 105
  • Jan 21, 2019 - Portland 109 vs. Utah 104
  • Dec 25, 2018 - Utah 117 vs. Portland 96
  • Dec 21, 2018 - Utah 120 vs. Portland 90
  • Apr 11, 2018 - Portland 102 vs. Utah 93
  • Feb 23, 2018 - Portland 100 vs. Utah 81
  • Feb 11, 2018 - Utah 115 vs. Portland 96
  • Nov 01, 2017 - Utah 112 vs. Portland 103
  • Apr 08, 2017 - Portland 101 vs. Utah 86
  • Apr 04, 2017 - Utah 106 vs. Portland 87
  • Feb 15, 2017 - Utah 111 vs. Portland 88
  • Oct 25, 2016 - Portland 113 vs. Utah 104
  • Feb 21, 2016 - Portland 115 vs. Utah 111
  • Jan 13, 2016 - Portland 99 vs. Utah 85
  • Dec 31, 2015 - Utah 109 vs. Portland 96
  • Nov 04, 2015 - Portland 108 vs. Utah 92

Injury Report for Portland

  • CJ McCollum: Out (Chest)
  • Ben McLemore: Out (Covid-19)
  • Robert Covington: Out (Covid-19)
  • Trendon Watford: Out (Covid-19)
  • Keljin Blevins: Out (Covid-19)
  • Dennis Smith Jr.: Out (Covid-19)
  • Cody Zeller: Out (Covid-19)
  • Jusuf Nurkic: Out (Covid-19)

Injury Report for Utah

  • Eric Paschall: Out (Personal)
  • Donovan Mitchell: Out (Back)
  • Udoka Azubuike: Out (Ankle)

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How Digital Twins Are Transforming Manufacturing, Medicine and More - TIME

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A version of this article was published in TIME’s newsletter Into the Metaverse. Subscribe for a weekly guide to the future of the Internet. You can find past issues of the newsletter here.

There are two versions of a BMW factory in the medieval town of Regensburg, Germany. One is a physical plant that cranks out hundreds of thousands of cars a year. The other is a virtual 3-D replica, accessed by screen or VR headset, in which every surface and every bit of machinery looks exactly the same as in real life. Soon, whatever is happening in the physical factory will be reflected inside the virtual one in real time: frames being dipped in paint; doors being sealed onto hinges; avatars of workers carrying machinery to its next destination.

The latter factory is an example of a “digital twin”: an exact digital re-creation of an object or environment. The concept might at first seem like sci-fi babble or even a frivolous experiment: Why would you spend time and resources to create a digital version of something that already exists in the real world?

But digital twins are now proving invaluable across multiple industries, especially those that involve costly or scarce physical objects. Created by feeding video, images, blueprints or other data into advanced 3-D mapping software, digital twins are being used in medicine to replicate and study internal organs. They’ve propelled engineers to devise car and plane prototypes—including Air Force fighter jets—more quickly. They allow architects and urban planners to envision and then build skyscrapers and city blocks with clarity and precision.

And this year, digital twins began to break into the mainstream of manufacturing and research. In April, chipmaker Nvidia launched a version of its Omniverse 3-D simulation engine that allows businesses to build 3-D renderings of their own—including digital twins. Amazon Web Services announced a competing service, the IoT TwinMaker, in November. The digital-twin market already generated sales of more than $3 billion in 2020, according to the research firm Research and Markets, and tech executives leading digital-twin efforts say we’re still at the dawn of this technology.

Digital twins could have huge implications for training workers, for formulating complicated technical plans without having to waste physical resources—even for improving infrastructure and combatting climate change. “Health care, music, education, taking city kids on safari: it’s hard to imagine where digital twins won’t have an impact,” says Richard Kerris, Nvidia’s vice president of Omniverse development.

An image from the digital twin of BMW's factory in Regensburg, Bavaria, created in NVIDIA's Omniverse
BMW

The need was always there. In the 1960s, NASA created physical replicas of spaceships and connected them to simulators so that if a crisis ensued on the actual vehicle hundreds of thousands of miles away, a team could workshop solutions on the ground. Dave Rhodes, the senior vice president of digital twins at Unity Technologies, a video-game and 3-D-platform company, says that digital-twin technology is only now being widely released because of several confluent factors, including the increased computing power of cloud-based systems, the spread of 5G networks, improvements in 3-D rendering and the remote work demands of COVID-19.

Digital twins can replicate real-world objects ranging in size from millimeters to miles. In Poland, a team of doctors and technologists is starting with one of the smallest objects imaginable: the human fetal heart. About 1 in 100 newborns has a congenital heart disease, which can be fatal if not treated. But studies have shown that more than half of those diseases go undetected. Sonography simulators are expensive and bulky, and most medical schools don’t include hands-on training. “Most likely you will encounter a congenital heart defect for the first time when you are already in your clinic,” Marcin Wiechec, an ob-gyn and associate professor at Jagiellonian University in Krakow, says.

So Wiechec and his team created Fetal Heart VR, which allows doctors to guide a probe across a belly-like dome in order to study normal and abnormal beating fetal hearts—re-created identically from real-life scans—through a VR headset. Wiechec has been using the app to train students in Krakow. Jill Beithon, a retired sonographer and educator based in Fergus Falls, Minn., says the app could have enormous benefits for medical workers in areas with less access to resources or cutting-edge education centers. “The fetal heart is very intimidating—and the size of a quarter at 20 weeks, beating at 100 beats per minute. It takes additional training, and it’s not training you can easily find,” she says. “With the VR, you don’t have to go to expensive courses or try to find a mentor. This is going to replace hands-on experience.”

A promo image for Fetal Heart VR.
Courtesy Marcin Wiechec

Digital-twin technology is being trialed across the medical landscape, for planning surgical procedures and exploring the heart risks of various drugs. In November, seven medical researchers from around the U.S., writing in the journal Nature Medicine, called for an increase in clinical studies of “cancer patient digital twins” to precisely track a patient’s physical state and adjust treatment accordingly. “[Digital twins] are poised to revolutionize how cancer and a host of other complex diseases are treated and managed,” the researchers wrote.

The automotive industry is also being transformed. Back in Regensburg, BMW can now test or tweak parts of the assembly line without having to move around heavy machinery; the company estimates the technology will cut the time it takes to plan out factory operations by at least 25%. A few months ago, factory managers created their first piece of new equipment inside the digital twin: a machine that puts door seals on a car frame. “Under the old-fashioned way, we would have had to draw it and build cardboard simulations, which is very time consuming. With COVID-19, we were very restricted in getting people on site,” says Frank Bachmann, the plant manager. “So with the digital twin we were able to work virtually, test it and have variations of the plan for more or less no money.” The machine was installed over the holidays—but before the break, Bachmann was able to show employees how to navigate their new workstations via the digital twin.

In Pittsburgh, Ding Zhao, an assistant professor of mechanical engineering at Carnegie Mellon, has been working with carmakers to use digital twins to improve the safety of self-driving vehicles. In his lab, he leverages vast quantities of data collected from real tests of self-driving cars to build complex digital-twin simulators. The simulations, he says, help predict how a car’s AI will react in dicey situations that could be dangerous and difficult to re-create IRL: when merging onto a dark snowy highway, for instance, or when jammed in between two trucks.

Crucially, digital twins also allow researchers to run crash-test simulations countless times without having to destroy cars or endanger real people. That means digital-twin technology is becoming essential to the development of self-driving cars. “Real-world testing is too expensive and sometimes not even effective,” Zhao says. Digital twins are also being used in other complex and potentially dangerous machines, from nuclear reactors in Idaho to wind turbines in Paris.

Others are deploying the technology at an even larger scale, to create digital twins of entire cities or even countries. This year, the Orlando Economic Partnership, a nonprofit community-development organization, announced it was partnering with Unity to build a digital twin of 40 sq. mi. of the Florida city. CEO Tim Giuliani hopes that the twin will eventually be used as a public resource and “backbone infrastructure,” allowing transportation experts to see how a rail system might impact the region, for utility companies to map out 5G networks and for ecologists to study the potential impacts of climate change. He estimates the project will cost $1 million to $2 million.

Of course, creating digital replicas at increasingly large scale raises questions about privacy and cybersecurity. Many of these digital twins are made possible by a multitude of sensors that track real-world data and movement. Workers at factories with digital twins may find their every movement followed; the hacker of a digital twin could gain frighteningly precise knowledge about a complex proprietary system. Zhao, at Carnegie Mellon, stresses the need for regulations. “Legislators and companies need to work together on this. You cannot just say, ‘I am a good company, I will never do evil things, just give me your data,’ ” he says.

Before the regulations arrive, technology companies are rolling full steam ahead. Many of them believe digital twins will gain importance with the rise of the metaverse, a collection of connected virtual worlds that increasingly impact—or even replace—what happens in the real world. Digital twin humans are coming too: the NFL and Amazon Web Services have created a “digital athlete” that will run infinite scenarios to better understand and treat football injuries.

BMW plans to take its digital-twin factory model to the world. The company is in the process of building a new plant in Hungary that is modeled completely in Nvidia’s Omniverse. But BMW could soon implement digital twins at all facilities. Bachmann, the plant director in Regensburg, says that the advantages of digital twins will only be fully realized when every factory is digitized in a standard way. “We need these processes of digital twins everywhere,” he says.

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